A machine learning model trained on 200,000+ Statcast game logs, anchored to the sharpest lines available. Every pick is +EV or it doesn't get posted.
START FREE TRIAL →The full day's slate in one table: EV%, Model Edge vs Pinnacle, Sim Prob, Barrel Rate vs the pitcher, HR/9, and Kelly sizing. Filter by player or team. Featured picks highlighted. One-click bet links to the best available book.
PICKS DASHBOARDTrack closing line value (CLV) over 7 days, 30 days, or all-time. Cumulative CLV chart, beat-close rate, and full pick history — sortable by date, odds, EV, or CLV. The gold standard measure of model sharpness, live and auditable.
PERFORMANCEFull historical results in a date-by-date calendar. Click any day to see each pick's outcome, the CLV it closed at, and the posted EV. Wins and losses — nothing hidden, nothing cherry-picked.
HISTORYWe anchor every pick to the sharpest lines and sportsbooks available. If the sharp money doesn't agree there's value, the pick doesn't get posted.
Our model analyzes each batter's real matchup — park, pitcher, and recent form — to calculate their true probability of going deep that day. Backtested across 200,000+ real MLB game logs.
We compare retail odds at DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Fanatics, BetRivers, and Caesars to our model. Only plays with positive expected value get posted — and we always show you the best available line.